The general direction is that the country wants the stock market to be bullish, so can it be proved technically? Among many technical analysis indicators, I only look at four indicators: K-line, MA, MACD and volume, and I must use long-term indicators to judge the general direction, that is, monthly and quarterly indicators.After the imperial court, the Milky Way started to accelerate again, and December was a month of harvest!It stands to reason that everyone has their own operating system and suitable model for investment, and Honghuo has no right to interfere. But there are some words, as a friend, Honghuo feels it is necessary to say. Ordinary investors who want to make money in the stock market never rely on various small decisions every day. The essence of this small decision is that you think you can gain an advantage in the market game by news and discipline, and you can predict the short-term market.
If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.
After-hours, personal pension will be expanded to broad-based index products, which is the China version of 401k! At present, there are about 65 million people opening personal pension accounts in China. If the average person pays 6,000 yuan a year, the annual deposit scale is about 150 billion yuan, which is a great incremental fund. If people can make money steadily for a long time, more people will buy personal pensions (tax deductible), thus promoting the slow growth of the stock market.If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.